Job Market Shows Signs of Weakening as Consumers Turn Gloomy_我的网站
A | 中新社北京8月25日电 (记者 王梦瑶)四川省数据局局长顾红松25日在北京表示，截至目前，“天府号”跨境公路班车物贸一体化数字平台常态化运营东盟、中亚、西欧、中东欧等8条跨境线路，通达亚欧大陆20余个国家的核心城市，累计发运超7000班次，跨境公路运输时效平均缩短35%。
The number of job openings fell to 8.8 million at the end of July, down from the prior month’s revised 9.1 million in a sign that the economy is downshifting, the Labor Department reported on Tuesday.
The drop brings the number about 2.5 million below the 11.4 million available jobs of a year ago.
Openings fell in professional and business services, down 198,000; health care and social assistance, off by 130,000; and state and local government, including education, where the combined losses totaled 129,000. There was a strong increase in information industry jobs, up by 101,000; and in transportation, warehousing and utilities, where openings increased by 75,000.
“Now it is taking a bit longer for jobseekers to find a job,” said Julia Pollak, chief economist for ZipRecruiter. “There’s meaningful slack in the job market, but it is still a historically tight job market. Overall, I still see the U.S. labor market as understaffed.”
The government will report the monthly jobs number for August on Friday with expectations for a gain of about 168,000 jobs.
“Investors should expect a softening labor report this Friday, further cementing the thesis that the Fed is getting close to finishing its tightening cycle,” said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial.
Meanwhile, the Conference Board’s consumer confidence index for August found a pullback as Americans grew more concerned about rising prices of gasoline and groceries.
The present situation index – a reading of how consumers assess the current economy – fell to 144.8 from 153.0 in July. The expectations index, a forward-looking measure, declined to 80.2 from July’s bump to 88.
“Consumer confidence fell in August 2023, erasing back-to-back increases in June and July,” saidDana Peterson, chief economist at the business organization. “August’s disappointing headline number reflected dips in both the current conditions and expectations indexes. Write-in responses showed that consumers were once again preoccupied with rising prices in general, and for groceries and gasoline in particular.”
“The pullback in consumer confidence was evident across all age groups – and most notable among consumers with household incomes of $100,000 or more, as well as those earning less than $50,000,” Peterson added. “Confidence held relatively steady for consumers with incomes between $50,000 and $99,999.”
Consumers expected higher interest rates to come, while also lowering their assessment of the probability of a recession.
Also Tuesday, home prices rose 0.9% in June, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index. Prices were unchanged on a year-over-year basis.
"U.S. home prices continued to increase in June 2023," said Craig J. Lazzara, Managing Director at S&P DJI. "Our National Composite rose by 0.9% in June, and it now stands only -0.02% below its all time peak from exactly one year ago. Our 10- and 20-City Composites likewise each gained 0.9% in June 2023, and stand -0.5% and -1.2%, respectively, below their June 2022 peaks.”
"As we've noted previously, the recovery in home prices is broadly based,” Lazzara added. “Prices rose in all 20 cities in June, both before and after seasonal adjustment. Over the last 12 months, 10 cities show positive returns. Otherwise said, half the cities in our sample now sit at all-time high prices.
“Today’s market offers buyers the frustrating combination of low inventory and high home prices,” said Realtor.com economic data analyst Hannah Jones. “Many existing homeowners remain on the sidelines of the market, content to stay put as mortgage rates reach 20-year highs.”
“As a result, home shoppers are seeing fewer existing homes for sale and facing more competition for the homes available,” Jones added. “Builders have started to pick up construction activity to fill this gap, but remain cautious as affordability challenges continue to stifle buyer demand.”
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B | 在中国国家数据局当天举行的“数据价值化 我们在行动”第五场新闻发布会上，顾红松表示，“天府号”跨境公路班车物贸一体化数字平台围绕“订单—调度—通关—结算”全链条业务流程，推动构建跨区域、跨行业的数据协同机制，破解跨境物流“信息孤岛”难题，提升运输效率、降低运营成本、保障运输安全。 据介绍，该平台根据实际业务需求，归集海关通关、口岸作业、交通路况、气象预警、监管执法等10大类30余项公共数据资源。目前，已累计归集基础公共数据约1000万条、积累全链路业务数据500余万条。 平台还搭建实时货物追踪与调度系统，深度融合北斗卫星定位、AI算法、温控溯源等技术手段，实现车辆位置、状态、货物安全全程监控，根据运营统计，货损率下降超60%、运输事故率下降超50%。搭建数据整合管理系统，整合利用交通路况、气象预警、口岸作业、订单运力等数据，为路径选择和运力匹配提供辅助支撑，减少空驾、中转和重复调度，根据运营统计，跨境运输时效明显缩短，中亚、东盟核心线路综合物流成本下降超10%。 顾红松称，下一步，平台将在现有业务和场景基础上，持续完善跨境物流数据目录、接口规范和数据安全管理机制，稳步推进与有关口岸、运输节点及服务平台的数据协同，全面提升多式联运组织和全链条服务能力。
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